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Americans have not often reached back a generation to choose a president. They chosen a president Burberry Handbag Discount
Is Hillary too old to be president
The main point of the professors paper is that voters and the media paid too little attention to the risks of a senior citizen president. The majority who said Dole age didn matter "were simply unaware that the man they might vote for had a 20 percent chance of dying in office or, if they were, they didn care."
more than five years older than the previous one only four times, and Clinton is 14 years older than President Barack Obama. In the four elections with a significant age gap between the party nominees since the Cold War ended, the younger candidate has won every time.
Average out the voters views, though, and you get a pretty reasonable approach: Advanced age, Handbags Burberry
Those numbers are misleading, though, because some voters see age through a partisan filter. Some of the Democrats who said they opposed Dole because of his age, in other words, would found a different reason to oppose him if he had been younger. And some of the Republicans who professed not to care about his age would have said that a 73 year old Democrat was too old for the White House.
In two of those elections, the age gap was big enough that exit polls asked about it. In 1996, Bob Dole, then 73, lost to a 50 year old Bill Clinton. In 2008, McCain lost to Obama. Although Democrats went after the Republican age each time, the polls found that most voters didn care about the issue. In 1996, in polls asking whether Dole age affected his ability, 64 percent of voters said no. In 2008, the pollsters were more delicate, asking if the age of the candidates had been a factor in the ballot booth. This time, 60 percent of voters said no.
Two Stanford University professors, Herbert Abrams and Richard Brody, looked at the polling on Dole age throughout the 1996 race and attempted to control for such partisan sentiments. Their conclusion was "unequivocal": Dole age did indeed hurt him.
One might have thought that the aging of the electorate would make it easier for Burberry Purse On Ebay
especially when combined with known health issues, should be a mark against a candidate but it shouldn overwhelm everything else. And probabilities are just that. Dole picked Jack Kemp as his Red Prada Bag running mate in 1996 in part because of his vigorous image (he had been a football player). Kemp died in 2009, while Dole is still going strong.
an older candidate to win. It may actually have the opposite effect.
The ones who did care about age, though, cared a lot. Of voters who thought Dole age affected him, 79 percent opposed him. McCain lost 66 percent of the voters who said age influenced their decisions. A naive reading of the polls would suggest that age was what cost the Republicans both elections. The people who weren worried about age gave Dole 58 percent of their votes and McCain 55 percent.
An older candidate, or that candidate supporters, can try to dismiss concerns about age as mere bias. But the data suggests the limits of that strategy. In 1996, the polls consistently showed that "the older the voter, the more likely he was to believe that Dole age would be an obstacle," as Abrams and Brody wrote. Their theory: "Older Americans did indeed project on Dole their own experience with health and the problems of aging."
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